Obama Might Abandon Campaign Promise on Taxes, Names Economic Team; Plus: Rubinomics and Citigroup

Obama Names Economic Team
Although the rumor mill had already leaked the information, Obama named his economic policy team today. Tim Geithner will head the Department of Treasury, while his mentor Larry Summers will serve as the Director of the National Economic Council. Christina Romer will head the Council of Economic Advisors.

Source: CBS News

Rubinomics?
Members of the Democratic Wing of the Democratic Party are already up in arms over some of Obama's staffing decisions. Today's New York Times adds more coals to the fire in an article that links Obama's economic team with Robert Rubin, who served as Secretary of Treasury to Bill Clinton. Liberals and progressives blame "Rubinomics" for free trade and deregulation, which they argue caused job losses and the current credit crisis. The article states that:

The president-elect’s choices for his top economic advisers — Timothy F.
Geithner as Treasury secretary, Lawrence H. Summers as senior White House
economics adviser and Peter R. Orszag as budget director — are past protégés of
Mr. Rubin, who held two of those jobs under President Bill Clinton. Even
the headhunters for Mr. Obama have Rubin ties: Michael Froman, Mr. Rubin’s chief
of staff in the Treasury Department who followed him to Citigroup, and James
Rubin, Mr. Rubin’s son.

All three advisers — whom Mr. Obama will officially name on Monday and
Tuesday — have been followers of the economic formula that came to be called
Rubinomics: balanced budgets, free trade and financial deregulation, a
combination that was credited with fueling the prosperity of the 1990s [Editor:
And the recession of the 2000s].

Source: New York Times

Speaking of Rubin: Citigroup Gets Largest Bailout Package to Date
Citigroup, the troubled financial conglomerate where Rubin serves as a Director, will receive the largest federal bailout of any financial institution to date during the present credit crisis. Under the plan, the government will give Citigroup at $20 billion cash infusion and insure losses on the bank's $300 billion portfolio of bad debt -- largely from risky mortgage instruments. Geithner helped negotiate the bailout pursuant to his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

Source: Los Angeles Times

Obama: "No New Taxes"
Taxation became a major debate issue during the general-election campaign. McCain promised to cut taxes for the "middle class," but he also said he would maintain Bush's controversial tax cuts for high-income earners. Obama, by contrast, promised to cut taxes for the middle class, but raise taxes on upper-income earners in order to fund his social programs and to prevent an explosion in the deficit. Many economic experts argued that both candidates' plans (which involved higher spending and fewer taxes) would increase the deficit. McCain's plan, however, would cause greater injury to the deficit because it would not involve any tax increases (as would Obama's).

Now, less than one month after the election, it seems that Obama's tax plan suddenly looks like McCain's. According to Reuters, Obama's team is now considering abandoning its plan to impose new tax increases due to the poor state of the economy. Wasn't the economy bad a month ago?

Source: Reuters

FactCheck.Org Confirms What Neither Party Will Admit: Bipartisan Blame for Wall Street Woes

When venerable Wall Street institutions like Lehman Brothers started imploding, liberal blogs and newspapers were quick to blame Republicans. Republicans on the other, said that Democrats caused the crisis. Turns out both are wrong. The nonpartisan website FactCheck.Org has concluded, as I did in a previous post on the financial crisis, that neither party can claim innocence with respect to the financial crisis (nor can the public, for that matter).

Democrats typically point vaguely to "deregulation" as causing the banking crisis. When pressed for specifics, they most commonly blame the Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act of 1999, which allowed traditional banks, insurance companies, and investment banks to consolidate. Republicans often accuse Democrats of resisting tighter regulation of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Neither explanation really works.

Let's start with the Democrats narrative. FactCheck nails it by locating the cause of the crisis in the housing and securities markets. Very low interest rates, the risky mortgage, greed among homebuyers who overextended themselves in order to reap the benefits of soaring home appreciation, and the securitization of bad debt caused most of this mess. The Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act did not effectuate this, and even if it did, many Democrats supported the legislation (including Bill Clinton and Robert Rubin).

With respect to the Republican argument, tighter regulation of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac might have prevented their troubles, but that certainly cannot explain the poor state of US and world markets. They are just one piece of a very large puzzle. Also some of the proposals that Republicans made on this issue came very late in the game, perhaps too late to prevent the crisis .

Because we are in an election year, public officials cannot resist the temptation to distort this important issue with partisanship rhetoric. But that does not change the fact that blame is everywhere.

Update: The RSS feed for FactCheck.Org now appears in the media section on the left side of the blog. FactCheck is truly a vital resource.